Distribution of water vapor content (WVC) and its seasonal variation over the mainland of China

Based on the meteorological data of 105 aerological stations during the period of 1960－1969, the monthly average water vapor content (WVC) in air column over the mainland of China is calculated. Charts showing the distribution of mean WVC for January and July and its seasonal variation associated with the atmos-pheric circulation in the lower troposphere over East Asia are also presented. Results obtained from this anal-ysis will contribute to the assessment of water resources, as well as the studies of the formation of rainfall and climate.     

THE EFFECT OF ASPECT RATIO ON THE BIFURCATION PROPERTIES OF A DOUBLE PARALLEL-CONNECTION LORENZ SYSTEM

A double parallel-connection (DPC) Lorenz system is developed by performing spectrum truncation of the Galerkin series expansion of the two-dimensional Rayleigh-Benard convection equation. Analyses of the equilibrium states indicate that a convective roll stems from a flow with a given wavenumber first losing its stability for a particular aspect ratio β after a stable laminar flow gets unstable; when β has the value βc able to deprive synchronously two flows with different wavenumbers of stability, occurrences of convective rolls with different wavenumbers depend entirely on the initial conditions, in good agreement with the relevant experimental results. The calculations of the unstablized rolls show that, with a smaller β (as compared with βc), the DPC Lorenz system has the same bifurcation properties as the ordinary Lorenz system; for a moderate β, the system has very complicated periodic, quasi-periodic and phase-locking motions; for a larger β, it results in intermittent chaos and causes mean flows with different numbers of vortices to occur alternately with time. All these indicate that β has substantial effect on the two Lorenz systems coupled through parallel connection in their interaction and the results.     

正压过滤模式大气中的对称运动和非对称运动

把流函数分成对赤道对称和对赤道反对称的两部分,可以把正压涡度方程分离为描写大气对称运动和反对称运动的两个方程。根据它们,讨论了在全球范围内几种基本物理量,如涡度和绝对角动量等在对称和反对称情况的守恒性。还给出了这两类运动的能量收支方程和能量转换表达式。可以看出,在大气中不仅有纬圈平均动能和扰动动能之间的转换,也有对称运动产生的和反对称运动产生的动能之间的转换。 还在涡度方程中考虑地形和水平扩散的情形下,提出了大气非对称性质产生的机制。结果表明:非对称的地形分布和水平扩散系数的分布可能是导致非对称运动的原因。 最后,还对全球预报和半球预报,从物理观点作了理论比较。     

我国可能最大暴雨洪水研究的进展

我国的暴雨洪水大、人口众、土坝多。为了保障人民生命财产和工农业的安全,许多大型、重要的中小型水库多采用可能最大暴雨洪水作为设计、校核的标准。在水文与气象人员的协作下,我国近十年来的可能最大暴雨与洪水计算方法得到一定的发展,提出了具有中国特色的方法、论文和一些专著,并开始了国际交流。本文综述这方面的进展并提出了几点看法。     

1987年1月8日甘肃迭部5.9级地震与地形变特征

根据１９８７年１月８日甘肃迭部５．９级地震前，该区域的地壳形变中长期背景和定点台站连续观测资料的震反应异常，分析研究了这此异常的变化特征。     

地震前鲶鱼活动性的自动观测系统

根据鲶鱼的听觉特性和夜间活动习性,研制了鲶鱼活动性超声波自动观测系统。观测结果表明,该系统不仅可灵敏地自动记录鲶鱼的活动性,并对其正常活动性无影响,环境声响对该系统无干扰。同时可应用于其他水生动物活动性的自动观测。初步的观测资料表明,1982年1—6月的观测期间,唐山地区发生的两次强余震(M_L5.2和M_L5.5)前48小时内,自动观测到的鲶鱼活动性出现明显增高。     

Risk Management for Petroleum Reservoir Production: A Simulation-Based Study of Prediction

We consider numerical solutions of the Darcy and Buckley–Leverett equations for flow in porous media. These solutions depend on a realization of a random field that describes the reservoir permeability. The main content of this paper is to formulate and analyze a probability model for the numerical coarse grid solution error. We explore the extent to which the coarse grid oil production rate is sufficient to predict future oil production rates. We find that very early oil production data is sufficient to reduce the prediction error in oil production by about 30%, relative to the prior probability prediction.     

地震快速数据发布系统

利用成熟的、性能优异的GMT和SAC作为后台处理软件，并辅以MySQL数据库系统来管理数据。实现了地震快速数据的自动、及时发布。     

Characteristics and method of synthesis seismic wave based on wavelet reconstruction

A novel method of synthesizing seismic wave using wavelet reconstruction is proposed and compared with the traditional method of using theory of Fourier transform. By adjusting the frequency band energy and taking it as criterion, the formula of synthesizing seismic wave is deduced. Using the design parameters specified in Chinese Seismic Design Code for buildings, seismic waves are synthesized. Moreover, the method of selecting wavelet bases in synthesizing seismic wave and the influence of the damping ratio on synthesizing results are analyzed. The results show that the synthesis seismic waves using wavelet bases can represent the characteristics of the seismic wave as well as the ground characteristic period, and have good time-frequency non-stationary.     

高压旋喷技术在基坑护壁与止水工程中的应用

长沙天都大厦工程围护墙先后采用2套方案施工,实践证明,采用高压旋喷单管双液分喷法具有设备简单;投资少;操作容易,施工速度快;桩间搭接严密,固结体强度高;适用范围广等优点,尤其在处理软弱地基、基坑支护和止水工程中显示出有效性、可靠性和优越性。该方法再经进一步完善,将具广阔的推广前景。